Equal numbers of Canadians both fear and doubt a U.S. military invasion as U.S. President Donald Trump ramps up his expansionist rhetoric, a new poll suggests. Trump last week finally declared he wouldn’t pursue a military invasion of Greenland and later announced a deal framework with NATO on Arctic security, climbing down from his annexation threats. Story continues below advertisementLast week, The Economist and the Globe and Mail reported that Canada’s military planners have gamed out what an American military invasion could look like — and how long the Canadian side could hold out. Over three-quarters (77 per cent) of Canadians polled said they believe NATO allies would come to Canada’s defence in the event of a U.S. military invasion. These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between Jan. 22 and 23, 2026, on behalf of Global News.