China’s political and economic support has become a decisive factor shaping Ukraine peace talks, Russia’s future prospects, and the balance of power. Against this backdrop, China’s political and economic support has become a decisive factor shaping Ukraine peace talks, Russia’s future prospects, and the balance of power among Moscow, Washington, and Beijing. The Ukraine war in particular plays a pivotal role as an obstacle to normalization and shifting focus to China. The China factor has become the decisive element in peace talks over Ukraine. So long as Beijing backs Moscow, Russia has little incentive to compromise, and Washington’s efforts to disengage Russia from China remain unlikely to succeed.