I have spent a few days jamming over various geopolitical risks and opportunities currently facing Türkiye with contacts in Türkiye, Ukraine and beyond. But starting with the war in Ukraine, Türkiye has managed to navigate a delicate course between the two main combatants and their backers. AdvertisementRussia’s miscalculation with its war on Ukraine, has though provided geopolitical opportunities for Türkiye. Türkiye can help assure European defense, Europe needs to wake up to that fact and provide finance to Türkiye to allow it to scale up European defense capability to now match that of Russia. But such an eventuality would inevitably see swift Turkish retaliation, and a lose-lose-lose scenario for Israel, Türkiye and the US.