However, the Shabab have kind of undermined their position in my opinion by announcing their expected timeframe for the withdrawal of AMISOM. It makes sense to assume that the group expects each country in AMISOM not to stay in Somalia for more than 10 years. The main Shabab bastions have always been off-road, and those will most likely be safely theirs in the foreseeable future. Yes, the Shabab can manage to fight for 5 more years and more if need be. Somebody asked me before Kismayo fell whether “that would be it”, that is, the loss that would make the Shabab “go”.