![Comment on Did Professor Allan Lichtman correctly “predict” the winner of the 2016 presidential election? His own book says no. [Updated with response] by Tom Schraw](/img/21bc42acd437f87fbf7cb2b8166147d84361f8556567f8af780c45573717314e)
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Comment on Did Professor Allan Lichtman correctly “predict” the winner of the 2016 presidential election? His own book says no. [Updated with response] by Tom Schraw
['Sydney Smith']
Comments for iMediaEthics
Lichtman’s new interpretation of his model — that it changed from predicting the popular vote to predicting the electoral vote — was not announced until after Trump had won the presidency. “In three elections since 1860, where the popular vote diverged from the Electoral College tally – 1876 (when Democrat Samuel J. Tilden won the popular vote, but lost in the Electoral College to Republican Rutherford B. Hayes), 1888 [when Democrat Grover Cleveland won the popular vote but lost to Republican Benjamin Harrison in the Electoral College], and 2000 [when Democrat Al Gore won the popular vote but lost to Republican George W.