In this sense, international recognition of a Palestinian state doesn’t push Israel toward peace. Egypt controls the Rafah crossing into Gaza, and works with Israel to contain Hamas and jihadist groups in Sinai. If Cairo suspends or downgrades this cooperation, Israel could face more security threats and a far less manageable Gaza border. There remains a route forward in which Israel is persuaded against annexation, and a lasting peace is established. A storm is brewing, and if Israel responds to this new wave of recognitions with annexation, it could become a hurricane.