Marine Le Pen continues to come back to life over and over, like Mike Myers (the Halloween villain, not the funny Canadian guy). In 2017 and 2022, Marine Le Pen made the runoff, but there was a powerful front républicain: center-left and center-right voters who disliked one another but still consolidated behind Macron to keep Le Pen (and Rassemblement National (RN)) out. The old story was always that Le Pen can win round one but not round two. Macron is out so you have a potential Round 2 of Le Pen vs. Mélenchon. And will be above 120% when the 2027 election happens.