Donald Trump’s Iran war is emerging as a major midterm liability for Republicans, with CNN data analyst Harry Enten warning that the conflict could drag the GOP down in November. Iran had been an advantage for Trump heading into the 2024 election, but Enten said it has now become a major weakness. A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that Republicans held an 18-point advantage over Democrats in January 2025 on handling wars, conflicts and terrorism. But Enten said the consequences could extend beyond the 2026 midterms and damage one of Trump’s most coveted personal ambitions. “The Iran war has brought Trump’s chances of bringing the Nobel Peace Prize down with him.”