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SPC Aug 12, 2026 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
['Storm Prediction Center']
SPC Convective Outlooks
...Central Plains into parts of the Midwest/Ohio Valley... Isolated severe potential remains evident in the vicinity of the surface front on Thursday, though confidence in the details remains low.
Otherwise, isolated storms may develop near/north of the front through the day, with an increase in coverage expected Thursday evening within a warm-advection regime.
Deep-layer flow will generally remain modest, but veering wind profiles will provide sufficient effective shear for some storm organization.
Weak deep-layer shear should limit storm organization in this regime, but steep low-level lapse rates could support localized severe gusts.
There will be some displacement between the strongest deep-layer flow and more favorable buoyancy.