— José Guerra estimate First-half 2026 growth at 4%, with Q2 at 6.2%. — Oil sector growth Q2 2026 oil GDP expanded 14.5% year-on-year, per José Guerra. — Leonardo Soto range Revised 2026 growth forecast to 2%–8%. The El Palito refinery in Carabobo; a rebound in Venezuela’s oil sector is central to the 2026 growth debate. Private Forecasts Remain Optimistic for Venezuela 2026 GrowthLuis Oliveros maintains a more optimistic projection, forecasting growth between 8% and 9% for 2026.