Wall Street loves a good doomsday number, and $100 billion is about as good as it gets. Lockup expirations have sunk plenty of high-profile initial public offerings (IPOs) before, flooding the market with new supply just as sentiment turns shaky. Instead, SPCX stock climbed roughly 16% on Friday, Aug. 7, extending the Aug. 6 gain of 6% on heavy volume. Let's walk through why the crash everyone penciled in never showed up — and what it tells smart investors about SpaceX stock from here. On paper, this is the kind of supply shock that crushes a stock — more sellers, same number of buyers, lower price.