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IT
SPC MD 1929
['Storm Prediction Center']
SPC Mesoscale Discussions
A supercellular storm mode is likely, with the primary threats large to very large hail and severe wind gusts.
Ample buoyancy within the hail growth zone, steep mid-level lapse rates, and a favorable storm mode will promote a threat for large to very large hail of 2-3+ inches in diameter.
Severe wind gusts and perhaps a brief tornado are also possible.
While the exact timing of convective initiation is uncertain, a Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed within the next 1-2 hours to cover this potential.
..Chalmers/Hart.. 08/11/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR... LAT...LON 43670380 44270382 45380379 46210362 46710300 46810243 46770204 46680185 46390149 45990126 45050118 44130123 43690131 43350154 43140196 43100233 43090289 43240340 43670380 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN