This is the landing page for FLIPR, Silver Bulletin’s 2026 election forecast. They also include a “timeline adjustment”, where outdated polls are revised to reflect trends in the generic ballot. Speaking of the generic ballot, you can find a version of it with our likely-voter adjustment below; this is the version that FLIPR uses. We draw most of the election polls used in our model from The New York Times poll database, but collect generic ballot and congressional approval polls ourselves. FLIPR models House, Senate and gubernatorial elections jointly, meaning that we can calculate the probability of things like Republicans holding the Senate but losing the House.