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Will a cooling labor market keep mortgage rates below 7% in 2026?
['Neil Pierson', 'Flávia Furlan Nunes', 'Logan Mohtashami', 'Brooklee Han', 'Jonathan Delozier', 'Richard Lawson', 'Housingwire Automation']
HousingWire
For the housing industry, it could mean marginal relief for homebuyers as the Fed will be less inclined to raise rates.
“Still, a cooler labor market that takes some pressure off borrowing costs would be a better backdrop for buyers than another leg higher in mortgage rates.”
The CME Group‘s FedWatch tool on Tuesday showed a 50/50 split among interest rate traders that a Fed rate increase is coming in September.
But the alternative scenario would support a higher federal funds rate, she indicated.
“With five years of above-target inflation, the risk grows that higher inflation may become entrenched in price- and wage-setting behavior, leading to persistence that would be much harder for us to attack.