Although Thailand’s deepening engagement with Myanmar’s military regime could lead to tighter operational restrictions along the shared frontier, observers and resistance leaders believe Bangkok will avoid imposing severe crackdowns on anti-junta groups operating in border areas. Following steps by regional actors—including China, India, and Laos—to maintain formal ties with the junta, Thailand recently expanded its official dialogue with the regime. A joint statement indicated both sides agreed to consider reopening key border trading posts as security conditions permit. While we may see tighter scrutiny regarding logistical access—such as the movement of weapons, medical supplies, and personnel—Bangkok is unlikely to cut ties with border groups.” Despite the high-profile visit, Karenni resistance leaders express confidence that Thailand’s long-standing border policy will remain pragmatic.