The strengthening El Niño phenomenon is expected to influence weather conditions throughout the remainder of the Atlantic hurricane season. Regional and international forecasters are predicting a below-average Atlantic hurricane season. The United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) continues to forecast between seven and 13 named storms for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season. Tropical Storm Arthur was the first named storm of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, forming in June over the Gulf. An average Atlantic hurricane season produces approximately 14 named storms, of which seven become hurricanes, and three become major hurricanes.