I have written many times why China will prevail in any kinetic war with the US and its vassals near Chinese shores. While Trump is acting as a belligerent beaver in heat for a war, his generals seem to be begging for caution. A war with Iran, which involves Iran shooting back, will easily cost tens, maybe hundreds, of billions. Going to war with the blind F-35s and the rusty warships with China, the US will be dead meat. Hence, my conclusion – in 10 years, the US won’t even pretend it can go to war with China.