October NY world sugar #11 (SBV26) surged +0.88 cents, or +5.65%, on Friday, while October London ICE white sugar #5 (SWV26) climbed +16.50, or +3.39%. Covrig Analytics now expects a global sugar deficit in 2026/27 of -300,000 MT, a sharp reversal from its June forecast for a +100,000 MT surplus. The USDA projected that global 2026/27 sugar production would fall 6.5% year-on-year to 184.854 MMT, down from a record 186.056 MMT in 2025/26. FAS projected India’s 2026/27 sugar production would rise +12% year-on-year to 33.6 MMT, driven by favorable monsoon rains and increased sugar acreage, should conditions improve. The confluence of supply-side risks across multiple major producing nations has shifted market sentiment firmly toward tighter global sugar availability through the 2026/27 season.