Monsoon activity is expected to intensify over central India, with heavy rain forecast across Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Maharashtra. Why heavy rain is expectedWeather models are currently indicating stronger moisture flow towards central India, supported by the monsoon trough and associated low-pressure systems. Below-normal monsoon does not mean dry weather everywhereA seasonal rainfall forecast does not mean rainfall will remain uniformly low throughout the monsoon. Short-lived low-pressure systems and other weather disturbances can produce intense rainfall over particular regions even when the overall seasonal rainfall remains below normal. Delhi crosses August rainfall averageDelhi has already surpassed its average rainfall for August within the first eight days of the month.