US-Iran Deal in 2026Israel is reportedly preparing to engage in military conflict with Iran independently, without the backing of the United States, according to recent social media reports. AdvertisementKey TakeawaysRecent reports suggest Israel is preparing for conflict with Iran without U.S. support, indicating a potential escalation in regional tensions. The news is consistent with decreased likelihood of a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026, affecting market expectations around potential diplomatic resolutions. Market pricing reflects this uncertainty, with a notable decrease in YES odds for the inclusion of Iran Reconstruction Funding in a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026. What to WatchObservers should monitor further developments in Israeli and Iranian military activities, as these could significantly influence the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran deal.