And while the Thucydides Trap is a red herring for wars, it does exist within Western tech companies. But there’s a risk in such assessments of limiting our strategic thinking only to wars, or what to do the day after war. ASPI’s critical tech tracker, which involves a 20-year look at global research into critical technologies, shows the trends. In tech, China was so confident by 2015 that it actually warned us what it would do in terms of supplanting the US in global tech supremacy. Which means not allowing China to have access to our best tech and not allowing Chinese tech into our critical infrastructure.