Syria's state oil CEO put a hard timeline on the Hormuz bypass, and Washington is backing it. The project is planned as two parallel pipelines with a combined capacity of 1.5 million to 2 million barrels per day. A working bypass at 1.5 to 2 million bpd is a proof of concept that major producers can structurally route around both the chokepoint and its dollar denominator. OFAC has spent the year sanctioning Iran's Hormuz insurance racket; the pipeline is the structural complement to that pressure campaign. The trigger that disproves it is straightforward, the project stalls at feasibility studies, never breaks ground, or delivers a fraction of the 1.5 to 2 million bpd target.