US-Iran Deal in 2026A senior Iranian cleric issued a warning to regional governments, stating they could face missile attacks if they continue to depend on the United States for their security. This warning is part of the ongoing tensions between Iran and the U.S., as Tehran aims to exert pressure on Gulf states aligned with Washington. These developments come amidst heightened levels of concern in the region, contributing to market sentiments regarding the likelihood of a US-Iran deal in 2026. AdvertisementKey TakeawaysThe cleric’s threats appear to reinforce concerns about Iran’s military posture, which is consistent with reduced chances of a US-Iran deal. Market data suggests a decrease in confidence for a US-Iran deal, with several related markets showing a decline in YES pricing.