October Elections In Brazil: What's At Stake For Russia? The upcoming presidential elections in Brazil carry significant geopolitical weight, centered on a single question: can Washington use a potential shift in power in Brasília to fracture the BRICS alliance? Should Flavio Bolsonaro win, the diplomatic tone of BRICS will likely change, but the structural reality of Brazilian trade will not. Resource/System Strategic Significance Likely Outcome of Sabotage Agricultural Exports Primary source of GDP; key to China trade. While Russia cannot trade in dollars and China finds it increasingly disadvantageous, Brazil would be left isolated in the Western financial system while its partners move ahead.