These winds result in increased vertical wind shear, which is unfavourable for Atlantic hurricane formation and intensification. The relative lack of activity in our analog seasons increases our confidence in a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season.” There were just 2.6 inches of rain on Grand Cayman in July, far below the seasonal average of 5.3 inches. On a parched Cayman Brac, there was just 0.9 inches, well below the seasonal average of 2.3 inches. With the El Niño likely to get stronger over the coming months and the continued presence of Sahara dust, dry conditions are expected to continue.