Speaking to reporters in Vilnius later the same day, Kaunas described the scenario as “a false flag operation, using a false Ukrainian drone.” Drone incursions have already tested Baltic defensesWreckage of a Russian-made Gerbera drone found at the Gaižiūnai military training area in Lithuania in July 2025. Baltic officials have assessed other incursions as Ukrainian long-range strike drones knocked off course by Russian jamming and spoofing. Lithuania and Latvia issued air danger alerts and briefly closed airspace over Vilnius Airport on May 20, 2026. Moscow denies planning attacks against NATO members, and the Kremlin has previously dismissed similar Lithuanian warnings as a pretext for rearmament.