Why Hansen may end up being right about 2026Posted on 3 August 2026 by Zeke HausfatherThis is a re-post from The Climate BrinkJim Hansen and I have spent much of this year making seemingly opposite predictions about where 2026 will end up in the global temperature record books. Hansen, via the Washington Post, cited my June estimate of a 26.6% chance that 2026 sets a new record. In the average of all the groups reporting global surface temperatures, second warmest remains my central call for 2026. In other words, my drift toward Hansen’s position is not the 2026 observations through June being particularly extraordinary. So Hansen predicting a GISTEMP record and me predicting second warmest in the multi-dataset average are, oddly, compatible bets.