The CLARITY Act faces a shrinking Senate window as prediction-market traders reduce expectations for passage this year. CLARITY Act Odds Drop to 16%Polymarket’s all-time chart puts the 2026 passage contract near 16%. CLARITY Act News | Source: The contract then fell sharply near August as traders reassessed the available Senate calendar. Under Senate rules, a cloture petition must lie over for one calendar day before the chamber votes. The proposal seeks clearer federal rules for digital assets and a defined division of authority between the SEC and CFTC.