The nearest shoreline sits more than 100 kilometres away, across a salt flat that used to be seabed. By 2000 it had split into a northern and a southern basin, and the southern basin had split again into two lobes. The summer a whole lobe vanishedIn August 2014, the eastern lobe of the South Aral stopped existing. Stop northern water bleeding away into a basin already written off, and see what happens. Survival depends almost entirely on rain, and rain in Karakalpakstan has been miserable.