US-Iran deal in 2026Recent reports suggest that former President Donald Trump’s hesitance in addressing escalating tensions with Iran may inadvertently provide Tehran with an opportunity to exert influence over the upcoming U.S. elections. Analysts indicate that Iran might exploit this period to calibrate its actions, potentially escalating tensions to leverage geopolitical outcomes. AdvertisementThe prediction markets reflect this uncertainty, with participants appearing to view the likelihood of including Iran reconstruction funding in a potential U.S.-Iran deal in 2026 as decreasing. The market’s response appears consistent with the perception of increased risk due to potential Iranian maneuvers in the region. Key TakeawaysMarket behavior appears consistent with a decreased likelihood of Iran reconstruction funding being included in a U.S.-Iran deal in 2026.