In the mid-July run, every model kept El Niño conditions in place across the forecast period, with the majority projecting a peak in the October-through-December window. "Every El Niño is not the same; each one is unique," National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said when the advisory was issued. Claims About Disease and Heat Deserve More CautionTwo areas frequently attached to El Niño coverage warrant more restraint than they usually get. Frequently Asked QuestionsHas NOAA declared a very strong El Niño? What are the main health risks tied to a wetter southern winter?