Given the broader concern in the market right now, I decided to ask my chatbot friend ChatGPT if there was a serious chance that the stock trades below $90 at some point before the end of the year. An optimistic starting viewIt assigned a 35% chance that it trades below $90 before year-end, which is lower than I was expecting. If SpaceX stock was rallying hard, I'd assign a lower probability. After mulling it over, it's less about a specific price level. Rather, I want to wait until volatility has died down, lockup periods have expired, and the share price trades with a more level head.