The Fourth Turning, the Crisis, is a decisive era of institutional destruction and reconstruction, typically catalysed by an existential threat — war, economic collapse, or civilisational rupture. — William Strauss and Neil Howe, The Fourth Turning, 1997The Current PositionBy Strauss and Howe’s reckoning, the current Fourth Turning began around 2008 — the Global Financial Crisis being its catalytic spark — and will likely reach its resolution sometime in the 2025-2030 window. Fourth Turnings historically produce enormous suffering alongside the reconstruction. Fourth Turnings do not end until the crisis is resolved. * * *If we are deep into a Fourth Turning, the years ahead could bring far greater economic, political, and social disruption than most people expect.