But the FPI did decrease Georgia’s chances at beating Mississippi State later this season. ESPN has more confidence in Mississippi StateMississippi State so far this season is the the surprise team in the SEC. But Mississippi State is off to a 3-0 start which includes a win over a ranked Arizona State team and a 63-0 drubbing of Alcorn State. To be fair, UGA still has an 82.7 percent chance to beat Mississippi State, but that did fall from 83.8 percent. Georgia travels to Mississippi State on Nov. 8, so UGA will learn a lot more about this MSU team before then.