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US June PCE inflation 3.7% vs 3.7%% expected. Core 3.3% vs 3.3% expected
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Core prior 3.4%Headline PCE YoY for June 3.7% vs 3.7% estCore PCE YoY for June 3.3% vs 3.3% estHeadline MoM -0.1% vs -0.1% est.
Last 0.5% (revised up from 0.4%)Core MoM 0.1% vs 0.2% est.
The Core YoY is at 3.3%.
Otherwise, the risk is that oil prices start to cause a creep higher vs a creep lower.
Of course, we could also go into much slower growth which would upset the apple cart and get inflation down faster.