Israel-Iran ceasefireU.S. Vice President JD Vance has publicly stated that elements within the Israeli government are attempting to influence American public opinion to support the continuation of the Iran conflict. These comments have come amid ongoing tensions and fragile ceasefire negotiations involving the United States, Iran, and Israel. The remarks by Vance highlight potential policy splits between the U.S. and Israel regarding the future of the military campaign in Iran. The ceasefire market, specifically the “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31” question, shows an 89.5% likelihood of a ceasefire holding through July 31, a slight decrease from previous levels. Key TakeawaysVance’s public comments appear to suggest internal divisions between the U.S. and Israeli governments on the Iran conflict’s future.