US invasion of IranPresident Donald Trump announced that the United States would retaliate against Iran following a recent attack targeting a military base in Jordan. This statement comes amid escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran, with Trump also warning China against supplying weapons to Tehran. AdvertisementKey TakeawaysPresident Trump’s statement suggests a significant escalation in U.S.-Iran relations, consistent with increased probability of military action. Pricing in the market for a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 has moved to 24.5% YES, reflecting heightened tensions. The rhetoric of potential military action has implications for international relations, particularly with China and Iran’s allies.