Steffen Schmidt, emeritus professor of political science at Iowa State University, told Newsweek in an email, "The Iowa Senate race is as dead heat as I've seen." ...Iowa Senate RaceTurek, the Democratic nominee, is a two-time Paralympic gold medalist and state House member, first elected in 2022. The Cook Political Report shifted its rating of the Iowa race in June from "Likely Republican" to "Lean Republican." ...What Polls Show in the Iowa Senate RacePolling averages suggest a competitive contest. A Cygnal poll of 600 likely Iowa voters found Hinson ahead with 46 percent compared to Turek’s 44 percent.