US-Iran deal in 2026In a recent interview with Fox News, President Donald Trump stated that while the U.S. will continue diplomatic discussions with Iran, it will retaliate if Iran attacks U.S. targets in Jordan. This development comes amid ongoing tensions in the region, where U.S.-Iran confrontations have escalated with missile and drone attacks. Trump’s remarks highlight a potential increase in military actions, should Iran target American forces in Jordan. AdvertisementKey TakeawaysTrump’s statement on possible military retaliation appears to increase the perceived risk of further conflict between the U.S. and Iran. Market pricing suggests a decrease in the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran deal including Iran Reconstruction Funding in 2026, with odds currently around 26% YES.