Within the space of ten days, Airbus and Boeing published remarkably similar long-term market outlooks. Both conclude that geopolitical conflict, fuel price volatility and economic uncertainty remain temporary interruptions rather than structural threats to aviation growth. Airbus argues aviation's future will be shaped primarily by changing demographics, urbanisation and the emergence of thousands of new city pairs linking smaller urban centres. Boeing arrives at almost identical delivery forecasts but places greater emphasis on airline strategy, network flexibility, market segmentation and the economics of fleet renewal. CAPA - Centre for Aviation's assessment is that both outlooks are substantially correct, but neither tells the complete story independently.