Mesoscale Discussion 1783 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0104 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026 Areas affected...portions of West Virginia...northern/central Virginia...and southern Delaware Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 281804Z - 282000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Severe potential to increase through the afternoon. Damaging wind, large hail, and tornadoes will be possible. DISCUSSION...Ahead of an approaching cold front across West Virginia, mostly sunny skies across portions of northern/central Virginia has allowed for temperatures to rise into the low to mid 80s. More modest low-level shear may somewhat limit the tornado potential initially, though the low-level jet may increase into the late afternoon. ..Thornton/Hart.. 07/28/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX... LAT...LON 39547882 39318019 38388081 38048006 36987787 36677684 36647594 37217539 38307509 38607506 38887566 39547882 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN