From left: Ken Paxton and James Talarico, the respective Republican and Democratic nominees for Texas’ U.S. Senate seat. Texas’ U.S. Senate race figures to be one of the most closely watched and expensive contests in the nation. In the New York Times/Siena poll, Paxton had an 8-point lead among voters without a degree, and in TPOR’s own poll in May, Paxton led by a whopping 21 points among that group. The TPOR poll found Talarico leading heavily among Black and Latino voters, while Paxton maintained a strong lead with white voters. Black voters broke 71% for Talarico and 8% for Paxton, while Latinos preferred Talarico by a 66% to 20% margin.