Disclosure Day joins a growing list of expensive original and new-to-screen bets that struggle to turn a profit, launch new franchises, or break out globally. The challenge is that originality appears far easier to monetize at $10 million-$40 million budgets rather than at $100 million-$200 million. Weapons ($38 million budget), Smile ($17 million), M3EGAN ($12 million), Longlegs ($10 million), Obsession ($750,000), Backrooms ($10 million)—all of these recent movies delivered impressive attention-grabbing ROIs. Meanwhile, 2009’s Avatar may be the last successful big-budget franchise launcher that wasn’t directly tied to a pre-existing brand. Given the economics, expect the next generation of Hollywood franchises to sprout more from the fertile ground of $20 million gambles rather than $200 million studio extravaganzas.