Editor’s note: Shortly after we published this piece, the administration announced it would be imposing Section 301 tariffs to replace the expiring Section 122 tariffs, as Scott predicted. Three different methods all give the same conclusion: This is Trump tariff replacement with a human-rights label glued on top. If these tariffs really were about eliminating forced labor, USTR would offer to completely remove the tariffs if targeted countries implemented new laws or demonstrated tighter enforcement. Perhaps the best way to understand the forced labor tariffs’ emptiness is simply by comparing them to the Section 301 tariffs on Chinese imports that Trump imposed during his first term. Republicans cheering the forced labor tariffs today should consider how they’ll feel when a Democrat holds the tariff pen.