That might not happen this year, but there's plenty of reason to think that Bitcoin could still hit a price target of $140,000 by the beginning of 2026. In order to ground any Bitcoin prediction in reality, it's helpful to look at the current data from the online prediction markets. Moreover, there's a 47% chance of Bitcoin hitting $130,000 by the start of 2026, and a 32% chance of Bitcoin hitting $140,000. For example, there's only a 22% chance of Bitcoin hitting $150,000 this year, and a 5% chance of hitting $200,000. So, putting it altogether, there is approximately a 1-in-3 chance of Bitcoin hitting $140,000 this year.