It's admittedly true that the most recent Find Out Now poll in April showed Yes above 50% support even before the exclusion of "don't knows", and that the new poll does not, with the Yes vote falling from 52% to 48%. However, the April poll was unusually favourable for Yes, and in retrospect the most likely explanation for that is simply random sampling variation, with normal service now being resumed. The SNP will also be reassured to see that the Reform surge in Westminster voting intentions is not being fully replicated at Holyrood level. Reform have leapfrogged Labour to take a clear second place in the Holyrood constituency ballot, but they remain a whopping 14 percentage points behind the SNP. With the poll showing the SNP have only one-quarter of votes on the list, there is quite simply no credible path to an overall SNP majority that would involve list seats.