The latest A2 Insights poll shows Earle-Sears trailing Spanberger by just three points. The partisan split is stark: conservatives overwhelmingly back Earle-Sears (83—9), while liberals strongly support Spanberger (86—6). The latest Co/Efficient poll, conducted September 22—23, showed Spanberger leading by six points, 49—43 percent. But a new report by Impact Social shared with Newsweek this month showed that Democrats "risk losing" the Virginia election if they do not shift their strategy. What Happens NextThe 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 4, 2025.