Emerging as the largest party in every general election since 1922, Welsh Labour has also won all six Senedd polls following devolution in 1999. According to YouGov, the Welsh nationalists of Plaid Cymru narrowly lead voting intentions at 30%, with Reform UK one point behind. But Mr Gething’s successor, Eluned Morgan, is also paying the price for a failure to sufficiently distinguish Welsh Labour from the increasingly unpopular Westminster version. At a time of seismic disruption in British politics, and in liberal democracies across the west, the collapse of Welsh Labour would be a landmark moment. In the context of next May’s elections, it could prove to be an unhappy tipping point for Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership of the Labour party.