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Is the Moon About to Get Smashed? 4% Chance of a Major Asteroid Collision
['Slamani Aghilas']
Indian Defence Review
An asteroid the size of a building has a small chance of hitting the moon in 2032, and it could shake lunar science to its core.
That’s a massive leap from the last major lunar collision in 2013, which produced a crater just 40 meters across.
©arXivA Global Moonquake, Shaking the Lunar CrustSeismometers across the moon (including new instruments expected to be deployed in the coming years) could record a global-scale seismic event.
This would far exceed any lunar seismic activity detected to date, including past Apollo experiments.
Whether or not asteroid 2024 YR4 collides with the moon, the event has already sparked extensive preparations and scientific planning.