In 2014, Donald Trump tweeted: "Just out—the POLAR ICE CAPS are at an all time high, the POLAR BEAR population has never been stronger." In Svalbard, the Norwegian archipelago in the Barents Sea, scientists have been weighing polar bears for three decades. Yet it does, in some ways, support the Trump view of climate policy. Polar bears are not a single story, but 20 distinct subpopulations facing different combinations of sea-ice loss, prey shifts, and human pressure. After the 1973 Agreement on the Conservation of Polar Bears curbed hunting across the Arctic, Svalbard’s bears benefited from legal protections and, over time, recovering prey.